Race 4B

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hannah Thayer 9.7% 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 11.5% 12.5% 13.2% 12.9% 5.9% 1.7%
Maggie Royal 14.0% 12.6% 13.3% 14.0% 13.0% 10.9% 11.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.4%
Graham Eger 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 4.7% 5.7% 12.1% 30.7% 35.8%
Mason Chrabaszcz 18.6% 18.7% 17.7% 13.4% 11.9% 9.5% 7.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Leigh Collier 12.9% 10.8% 10.5% 12.8% 13.8% 11.9% 13.2% 9.2% 3.7% 1.2%
Malcolm Kriegel 14.8% 14.7% 12.2% 13.2% 14.0% 12.7% 9.6% 6.1% 1.9% 0.8%
Gabby Spring 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 4.3% 4.1% 9.9% 25.0% 49.5%
Learon McGinn 3.5% 3.7% 5.6% 6.3% 5.6% 8.5% 11.5% 24.6% 21.7% 9.0%
Katherine Byrnes 11.9% 11.9% 12.6% 13.7% 11.8% 12.9% 12.8% 7.8% 3.8% 0.8%
Maria Canovas Gonzalez 12.1% 13.9% 13.6% 11.4% 13.5% 12.1% 11.3% 8.1% 3.4% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.