Race 5B

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Malcolm Kriegel 14.2% 14.4% 12.2% 11.9% 11.0% 11.8% 10.8% 7.0% 5.5% 1.2%
Maria Canovas Gonzalez 12.9% 10.7% 12.8% 11.4% 12.5% 11.6% 11.3% 9.3% 6.0% 1.5%
Mason Chrabaszcz 19.5% 15.2% 13.9% 15.6% 12.5% 9.8% 5.3% 5.6% 2.3% 0.3%
Hannah Thayer 8.1% 9.5% 9.9% 12.2% 11.3% 12.2% 12.9% 12.0% 8.8% 3.1%
Learon McGinn 3.9% 4.8% 4.5% 5.6% 6.5% 5.3% 8.5% 13.8% 25.7% 21.4%
Carson Pepper 6.7% 5.3% 7.6% 6.1% 7.4% 11.1% 12.4% 14.6% 18.4% 10.4%
Maggie Royal 11.6% 14.0% 12.8% 12.6% 12.4% 13.4% 9.3% 7.4% 5.1% 1.4%
Leigh Collier 10.3% 12.5% 11.9% 11.7% 11.2% 10.6% 12.3% 11.2% 5.9% 2.4%
Katherine Byrnes 11.5% 11.9% 11.9% 10.9% 12.0% 10.7% 12.7% 10.8% 6.0% 1.6%
Graham Eger 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 2.0% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 8.3% 16.3% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.