Race 6B

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carson Pepper 5.8% 6.2% 6.8% 8.9% 7.1% 10.2% 10.9% 16.8% 16.2% 11.1%
Leigh Collier 10.9% 10.6% 11.1% 11.3% 12.5% 11.0% 12.5% 9.3% 9.4% 1.4%
Learon McGinn 3.5% 3.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.2% 6.8% 9.7% 14.5% 25.2% 22.4%
Mason Chrabaszcz 18.0% 19.0% 15.4% 13.2% 12.0% 9.0% 7.3% 3.2% 2.7% 0.2%
Maggie Royal 14.1% 12.2% 13.3% 11.9% 12.0% 13.0% 8.6% 9.0% 4.4% 1.5%
Malcolm Kriegel 14.7% 11.4% 13.4% 13.1% 10.6% 11.6% 12.0% 7.5% 4.2% 1.5%
Katherine Byrnes 10.0% 12.9% 12.1% 10.9% 14.4% 11.0% 11.5% 9.7% 5.2% 2.3%
Maria Canovas Gonzalez 12.0% 14.6% 11.0% 11.4% 13.0% 12.4% 10.1% 9.3% 4.9% 1.3%
Hannah Thayer 9.5% 8.2% 10.7% 11.6% 10.6% 11.4% 12.8% 12.9% 9.0% 3.3%
Graham Eger 1.5% 1.3% 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 3.6% 4.6% 7.8% 18.8% 55.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.