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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+7.93vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+5.78vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.50+12.95vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.16+3.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.61+14.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73-0.74vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.53-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.28+3.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.51vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.75+4.29vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35+0.22vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.87+2.12vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.30vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.88-0.16vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-1.06vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.91-7.25vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-4.96vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.33-6.48vs Predicted
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20California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-9.85vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-0.58+2.24vs Predicted
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22University of Washington0.95-3.55vs Predicted
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23Northwestern University1.95-9.50vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine1.06-6.26vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University0.59-5.45vs Predicted
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26University of Minnesota0.08-4.21vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-0.11-4.49vs Predicted
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28Arizona State University-0.58-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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15.95Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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19.43University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.26Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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14.29Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.22George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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15.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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13.84Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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13.94Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.75College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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12.04Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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10.15California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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23.24Arizona State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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18.45University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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13.5Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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17.74University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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19.55Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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21.79University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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22.51University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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23.24Arizona State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Weis | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 12.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 6.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Campbell | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 22.1% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Campbell | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.