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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+4.61vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+3.00vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.58+18.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.25vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+5.25vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+8.01vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+0.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+0.19vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+1.81vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-2.92vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.28-0.09vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.87+0.68vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50+1.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.61+4.05vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.91-6.92vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.95-4.72vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University0.59-0.04vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California2.33-8.31vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University1.86-7.61vs Predicted
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21University of Washington0.95-4.48vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine1.06-5.59vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University1.75-9.81vs Predicted
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24University of Minnesota0.08-4.28vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-0.11-4.51vs Predicted
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26Arizona State University-0.58-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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5.0Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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21.68Arizona State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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14.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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7.07Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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14.66Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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18.05University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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12.28Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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17.96Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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12.39Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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16.52University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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16.41University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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13.19Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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19.72University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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20.49University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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21.68Arizona State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Campbell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Campbell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.