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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.16+5.90vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+6.12vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+10.91vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.87+8.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+5.77vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.53-0.28vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-3.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61+8.97vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.14vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.28-0.26vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.14-4.91vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.91-5.12vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-3.44vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine1.06+1.10vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.95+0.86vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.86-4.30vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California1.96-5.92vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University1.75-5.86vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.95-8.11vs Predicted
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21Eckerd College1.50-6.95vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-0.58-0.27vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University0.59-4.96vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-0.58-2.27vs Predicted
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25University of Minnesota0.08-5.29vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-0.11-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
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13.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.77Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.72Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College3.730.2%1st Place
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17.97University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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16.1University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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16.86University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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12.7Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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13.14Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.89Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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14.05Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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21.73Arizona State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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18.04Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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21.73Arizona State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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19.71University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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20.41University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Stevens | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 15.9% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Campbell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Campbell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.