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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+12.61vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.87+10.46vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+3.62vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+6.23vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.75+7.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+4.81vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33+3.13vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.95+8.46vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.53-3.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.63vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.13+11.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.61+5.76vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.14-6.23vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.73-9.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-1.99vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.28-6.61vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine1.06-2.21vs Predicted
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19Northwestern University1.95-7.05vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University1.86-8.01vs Predicted
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21Eckerd College1.50-7.21vs Predicted
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22College of Charleston2.91-14.39vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.11-2.84vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University0.59-6.26vs Predicted
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25University of Minnesota0.08-5.31vs Predicted
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26Arizona State University-1.13-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.23George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.71Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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16.46University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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5.05Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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22.38Arizona State University-1.130.0%1st Place
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17.76University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.77Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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4.53Boston College3.730.2%1st Place
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13.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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15.79University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.95Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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11.99Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.79Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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20.16University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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17.74Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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19.69University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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22.38Arizona State University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 4.3% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harris | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 15.1% | 61.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 17.7% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 23.5% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harris | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 15.1% | 61.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.