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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.59+1.76vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.34+0.80vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.21-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.90+1.58vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.13vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.01-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-1.74-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76North Carolina State University0.5924.2%1st Place
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2.25Virginia Tech0.9736.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Virginia-0.3413.0%1st Place
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3.97William and Mary-0.2111.9%1st Place
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6.58University of Maryland-1.901.8%1st Place
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4.87American University-0.865.9%1st Place
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5.42Penn State University-1.014.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Virginia-1.742.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 24.2% | 26.1% | 21.3% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Bender | 36.1% | 28.1% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 13.0% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 11.9% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Caroline Fuller | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 42.7% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 6.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 13.2% |
| Robert Cantus | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 26.4% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.