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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+3.63vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+8.15vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.95+8.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+6.86vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14+1.52vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.16+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+10.73vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.53-2.66vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06+5.10vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.91-4.43vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.95+3.65vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.13+8.40vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.33vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.28-5.69vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.86-5.78vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-6.11vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.50-6.39vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University0.59-3.36vs Predicted
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22University of Southern California2.33-11.82vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University1.75-10.24vs Predicted
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24University of Minnesota0.08-4.49vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-0.11-4.71vs Predicted
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26Arizona State University-1.13-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Boston College3.730.2%1st Place
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10.15George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.99Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.52Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.69Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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17.73University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.34Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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16.1University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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16.65University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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22.4Arizona State University-1.130.0%1st Place
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13.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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12.22Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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13.61Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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17.64Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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12.76Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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19.51University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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20.29University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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22.4Arizona State University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 16.4% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harris | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 24.6% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harris | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.