← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.53+4.22vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+11.48vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.61+14.64vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University3.14+2.48vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.96+6.82vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.86+6.07vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.87+4.01vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University1.95+2.88vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.06+5.84vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii2.28-0.80vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.73-7.18vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.23-2.50vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston2.91-6.50vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-7.58vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.35-5.83vs Predicted
-
17University of Washington0.95-0.75vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University3.16-11.34vs Predicted
-
19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-6.01vs Predicted
-
20Santa Clara University0.59-2.67vs Predicted
-
21Western Washington University1.75-8.35vs Predicted
-
22Eckerd College1.50-8.29vs Predicted
-
23University of California at San Diego-0.11-3.12vs Predicted
-
24University of Minnesota0.08-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.22Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
13.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
17.64University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.48Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.82University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
-
12.07Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
12.01University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
-
11.88Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
-
15.84University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
10.2University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
-
4.82Boston College3.730.2%1st Place
-
10.5Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.5College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
-
10.17George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
16.25University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
-
6.66Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
12.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
-
17.33Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
12.65Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
-
13.71Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
19.88University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
19.48University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 11.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mark Davies | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 17.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 37.1% |
| Michael Valverde | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.