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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+4.28vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+4.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+0.54vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.95+10.11vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35+1.65vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.96+2.93vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+2.18vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.91-3.57vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.65vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.87-0.90vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50+0.04vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-4.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.060.00vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.28-6.75vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.95-6.13vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.24vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-7.60vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.23vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University0.59-4.42vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University1.75-10.10vs Predicted
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24University of Minnesota0.08-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.61Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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4.54Boston College3.730.2%1st Place
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6.59Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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16.11University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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9.65George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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12.18Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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13.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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14.04Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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16.0University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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11.87Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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17.76University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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12.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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19.77University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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17.58Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.9Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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19.44University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 16.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Shannon | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mark Davies | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 10.3% |
| Devin Keister | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 36.2% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Valverde | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.