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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.43vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+5.39vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.91+10.08vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.71+4.66vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93+2.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.20vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University3.43-2.05vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.41+1.30vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.54-0.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.94+1.66vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.93-4.18vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.68+0.89vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.72-0.48vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.44+7.32vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.74-2.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+3.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.64vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University1.35-3.41vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.93-7.27vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.92+2.64vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.15+2.02vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.15+1.02vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.94vs Predicted
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25University of Minnesota-0.03-3.84vs Predicted
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26Western Washington University-0.54-3.46vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-12.35vs Predicted
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28California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-15.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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13.08University of Hawaii1.910.0%1st Place
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8.66Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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5.95Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.9Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.66Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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13.89Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Southern California1.720.0%1st Place
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22.32Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Washington1.740.0%1st Place
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20.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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17.36University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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15.59Roger Williams University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.73Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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23.64University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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24.02Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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24.02Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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23.06University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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21.16University of Minnesota-0.030.0%1st Place
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22.54Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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12.98California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 10.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Roach | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Miles Clark | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.