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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+5.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+3.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.91+6.48vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.74+6.23vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71+1.08vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54+0.69vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.41-0.02vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.68+2.59vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.93-3.96vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.72+0.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.77vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.93-2.66vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.35-1.41vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.94-4.85vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.15+5.33vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+0.21vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.95vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-0.44+0.67vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-7.20vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.15+0.33vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-0.92-1.41vs Predicted
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24Western Washington University-0.54-3.19vs Predicted
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25University of Minnesota-0.03-5.80vs Predicted
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26University of Pennsylvania2.43-17.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Hawaii1.910.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Washington1.740.0%1st Place
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8.08Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.59Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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7.04College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Southern California1.720.0%1st Place
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15.77University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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11.34Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.59Roger Williams University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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22.33Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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18.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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20.95University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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20.67Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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13.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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22.33Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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21.59University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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20.81Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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19.2University of Minnesota-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Person | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Roach | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 35.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 35.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Miles Clark | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.