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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.71+6.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+5.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.93+4.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.24+5.15vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.91+5.59vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-1.33vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54+0.82vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.15+13.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-3.36vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.68+1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.74+0.52vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.71vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.41-4.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.94-3.94vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.58vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-0.44+3.50vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+0.33vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California1.18-4.74vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.15+2.27vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.92-5.07vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University-0.54-0.90vs Predicted
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23Northwestern University1.93-11.86vs Predicted
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24University of Minnesota-0.03-4.80vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.61vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine-0.92-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University2.240.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Hawaii1.910.0%1st Place
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5.67Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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22.27Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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12.59Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Washington1.740.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.29George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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13.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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20.5Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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18.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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14.26University of Southern California1.180.0%1st Place
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22.27Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.93University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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21.1Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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11.14Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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19.2University of Minnesota-0.030.0%1st Place
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21.39University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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21.72University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cappetta | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Crowe | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Clark | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.