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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+5.79vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+5.99vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+2.51vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+3.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.91+4.68vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.93+3.43vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.15+13.29vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.74+2.36vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.93-3.88vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.41-2.52vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.24-2.90vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.94-2.65vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.18-0.54vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.50vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.68-4.41vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.40vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.18vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University-0.54+0.91vs Predicted
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21University of Pennsylvania2.43-11.52vs Predicted
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22University of Minnesota-0.03-2.91vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.60vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University-0.44-3.41vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-1.15-2.71vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine-0.92-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.57Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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11.68University of Hawaii1.910.0%1st Place
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11.43Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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22.29Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Washington1.740.0%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University2.240.0%1st Place
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11.35Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Southern California1.180.0%1st Place
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15.5University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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12.59Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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13.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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17.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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20.91Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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19.09University of Minnesota-0.030.0%1st Place
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21.4University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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20.59Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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22.29Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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21.79University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Person | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 14.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Crowe | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Clark | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.