Race 5A

top-nine-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
John Wallace 6.0% 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 5.9% 6.8% 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% 5.7% 7.8% 5.7% 9.2% 7.7% 7.2% 3.7% 0.9%
Ian Holtzworth 7.8% 7.9% 8.4% 6.2% 8.7% 8.6% 6.6% 6.9% 8.3% 6.5% 4.8% 5.0% 5.2% 5.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Patrick Kana 8.9% 8.6% 9.0% 9.8% 7.5% 6.6% 7.1% 7.3% 7.4% 4.7% 5.6% 6.2% 4.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Daniel Eichler 7.2% 7.5% 6.6% 6.1% 6.3% 6.0% 7.6% 5.9% 8.5% 6.0% 7.4% 6.6% 5.9% 5.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.1%
Andrew Mason 6.6% 7.9% 6.2% 7.1% 6.1% 6.7% 8.1% 6.1% 6.1% 7.5% 6.2% 5.9% 6.2% 5.3% 4.0% 3.2% 0.8%
Tyler Steel 5.3% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 7.5% 6.4% 6.3% 5.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 7.4% 6.6% 4.6% 1.2%
Brady Stagg 9.4% 9.6% 8.5% 8.6% 8.9% 7.9% 8.7% 8.6% 7.0% 6.0% 5.6% 3.7% 2.4% 2.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Devin Laviano 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 8.5% 6.5% 6.3% 6.5% 5.9% 7.5% 6.0% 6.5% 5.6% 5.9% 5.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.3%
Hadley Burnham 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 7.6% 9.1% 15.1% 20.6% 10.1%
Zach Runci 4.3% 3.7% 5.2% 5.1% 6.7% 5.9% 5.6% 7.1% 5.8% 6.7% 5.8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 8.9% 5.2% 1.7%
Ike Babbitt 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 7.7% 6.2% 5.8% 7.7% 6.0% 6.1% 7.2% 6.1% 8.2% 5.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Randall Hartranft 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.4% 5.8% 6.5% 5.4% 6.8% 7.8% 6.9% 6.2% 7.2% 6.0% 6.3% 4.1% 2.5% 0.6%
Ian Liberty 6.3% 5.6% 5.9% 4.7% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 8.0% 5.9% 7.1% 5.9% 7.6% 5.4% 5.7% 5.3% 3.4% 0.7%
Taylor Vann 7.3% 7.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.5% 6.8% 6.3% 5.7% 5.8% 6.8% 8.3% 7.1% 5.8% 5.2% 3.7% 2.5% 0.0%
Nick Aswad 6.7% 8.0% 7.4% 6.4% 5.9% 6.3% 6.1% 7.0% 6.4% 7.2% 6.9% 6.4% 6.9% 4.9% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Matthew Winter 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 5.4% 9.1% 20.2% 48.6%
Michael DeNigris 0.7% 0.4% 1.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.2% 2.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.3% 2.7% 4.3% 6.4% 11.9% 23.0% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.