← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.35+4.62vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.39vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.71+5.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.91+7.94vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.93+2.17vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University1.93+5.72vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.41+2.48vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington1.74+4.59vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.93-2.01vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.54-1.09vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.92+5.09vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-5.35vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.41vs Predicted
-
14University of Southern California2.18-3.63vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.94-3.21vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College1.68-3.14vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.24-6.79vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.07vs Predicted
-
19Western Washington University-0.54+1.41vs Predicted
-
20Santa Clara University-0.44+0.36vs Predicted
-
21University of Minnesota-0.03-1.44vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.61vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Irvine-0.09-3.58vs Predicted
-
24University of California at San Diego-0.75-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
8.22Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
11.94University of Hawaii1.910.0%1st Place
-
7.17Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.72Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
9.48George Washington University2.410.0%1st Place
-
12.59University of Washington1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.99College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.91Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
-
16.09University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.65University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.59University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
-
10.37University of Southern California2.180.0%1st Place
-
11.79Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
-
12.86Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
-
10.21Roger Williams University2.240.1%1st Place
-
13.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
-
20.41Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
20.36Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
-
19.56University of Minnesota-0.030.0%1st Place
-
18.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
19.42University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
21.34University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Neil Stapleton | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Peterson | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alden Crowe | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 21.8% |
| Allison Glover | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 19.6% |
| Miles Clark | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 9.2% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 11.3% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.