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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.14+3.56vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.88+3.09vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+7.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.95+2.08vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-1.54vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15+2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.89-3.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.87vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.03-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.53-5.75vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.23-2.99vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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10.44Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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8.08University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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10.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.78Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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11.01University of British Columbia-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 16.1% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Hare | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 19.1% | 42.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.