← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+5.39vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.88+3.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.14+1.56vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.33+0.12vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.01+5.58vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.95+2.09vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.74-1.55vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii1.89-2.77vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.22vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University1.03-2.16vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.20vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.92vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington1.53-7.83vs Predicted
-
15University of British Columbia-0.23-4.06vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
-
5.11University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.56University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
-
4.12University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
10.58Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.09University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
-
5.45University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.23University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
-
10.22California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
7.84Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
-
12.2University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
8.08University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.17University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
-
10.94University of British Columbia-0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.22California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Baxter | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 16.6% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 10.9% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 46.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Hare | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.