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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+6.87vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.88+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.89-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.53-0.97vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.23+1.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.45-4.46vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.01-1.33vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.03-5.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.92-6.06vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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3.93University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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10.07California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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11.13University of British Columbia-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
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10.67Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.78Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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10.07California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.0% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 13.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| James Hare | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 21.1% | 41.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.