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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+2.39vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.95+4.91vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.89+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.88-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.45-2.57vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.21vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.53-4.68vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.03-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.23-1.98vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.03-2.53vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.01-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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4.39University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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7.91University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
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10.21California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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7.76Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.02University of British Columbia-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.21California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.47University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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10.37Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 18.6% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 11.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| James Hare | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.