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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.53+1.54vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-1.51+3.50vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.40+0.79vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.74+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.96-2.53vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.07-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.64-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Unknown School0.5329.4%1st Place
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5.5Unknown School-1.514.3%1st Place
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3.79Unknown School-0.4012.7%1st Place
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4.4Unknown School-0.748.4%1st Place
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2.47University of British Columbia0.9630.4%1st Place
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4.93Unknown School-1.076.3%1st Place
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4.37University of Victoria-0.648.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rory Walsh | 29.4% | 27.2% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Frederick Mitchell | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 41.3% |
Bryce Lutz | 12.7% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
William Cran | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 14.5% |
Nelson Fretenburg | 30.4% | 26.1% | 21.1% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Aevyn Jackson | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 23.8% |
Maclain Walsworth | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.