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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+5.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+5.80vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.88+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.95-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.33-4.90vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.01+0.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.03+1.55vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.79vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.89-7.67vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.23-3.05vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.03-7.45vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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5.31University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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4.1University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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10.57Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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10.21California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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10.95University of British Columbia-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.55Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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10.21California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.0% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 18.2% | 54.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Hare | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 24.0% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.