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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.88+4.12vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53+1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.95+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-3.11vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.89-2.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.95vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15-0.75vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.23-0.91vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.75vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.03-6.30vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.01-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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3.89University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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10.25California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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11.09University of British Columbia-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.25California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.7Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.4Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.45University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 13.8% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.6% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| James Hare | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 23.6% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 51.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.