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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.88+4.17vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+2.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+5.00vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.89+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.95+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.45-1.52vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.33-5.89vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.23+0.06vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.01-2.49vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.03-6.39vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.84vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
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10.16California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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11.06University of British Columbia-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.51Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.61Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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10.16California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.48University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 15.9% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 16.0% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Hare | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 19.1% | 51.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.