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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.36+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.91+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.25+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.79-2.78vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.25-5.01vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.76-1.31vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.37-4.55vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.70vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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4.22University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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9.67University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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10.69Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.45Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.3California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.3California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.5% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 20.8% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 14.7% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 23.7% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 44.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 44.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.