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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.36+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.79+3.27vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.37+3.16vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.91-2.70vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.25-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.14vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.76-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.25-3.14vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.71vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.42University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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7.27University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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8.16Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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10.71Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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9.86University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.29California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.29California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 14.4% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.6% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 21.8% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 21.2% | 43.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 21.2% | 43.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.