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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.36+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.91+0.40vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.37+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.79+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.93-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.25-2.89vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.25-1.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-4.72vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.76-3.13vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.75vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
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8.18Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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9.72University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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10.87Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.25California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.25California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 20.3% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.2% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 22.3% | 41.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 22.3% | 41.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.