← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.91+3.35vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.96+1.16vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.96vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.28-1.33vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.37+2.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.79+0.43vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.70vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii2.36-5.49vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington0.93-3.05vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.25-4.87vs Predicted
-
12University of British Columbia-0.25-1.88vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-0.76-1.80vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.33-1.82vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.49vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.35University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
-
4.16University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
-
7.96University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
3.67University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
8.54Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.43University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.3University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
-
3.51University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
-
6.95University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
6.13University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
10.12University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
-
11.2Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.18University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
-
11.51California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.51California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Meade | 13.2% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.1% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 21.3% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 21.2% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 25.8% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 25.8% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.