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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.36+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.25+2.10vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.91-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.93-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.79-0.72vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.37-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.86vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.25-0.95vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.76-1.82vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.33-2.84vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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6.1University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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8.51Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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10.05University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.18Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.54California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.54California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 20.1% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 15.5% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 22.8% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 4.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 40.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.