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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.91+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93+1.93vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.36-2.45vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.25-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.25+1.80vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.79-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-3.33vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.37-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.33-0.70vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.45vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.76-3.91vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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6.16University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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9.8University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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8.5Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.3University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.55California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.09Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.55California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 14.6% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 21.3% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 17.6% | 22.5% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 43.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 25.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.