← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.28+2.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.36+1.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.93+3.90vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.91-0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.79+1.40vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.13vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California1.96-3.85vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-1.50vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University0.37-1.53vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.25-4.87vs Predicted
-
12University of British Columbia-0.25-1.95vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.40vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.76-2.91vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-1.33-2.83vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.61University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
3.36University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
-
6.9University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
4.44University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
-
7.4University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
-
8.13University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
4.15University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
-
7.5University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
-
8.47Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.13University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
10.05University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
-
11.6California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.09Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.17University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
-
11.6California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.7% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 22.6% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 23.7% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 22.7% | 40.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 23.7% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.