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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+3.70vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.36-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.79+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.25-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-1.66vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.37-1.68vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.76+0.14vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.25-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.03-6.56vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.33-2.87vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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6.7University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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7.34University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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8.32Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.14Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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9.93University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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11.46California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.13University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.46California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 21.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 15.9% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 21.9% | 21.8% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Magnussen | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 21.8% | 41.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.