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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+5.66vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.36+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.90vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+1.49vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.37+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.03-2.56vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.76+1.14vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.25-5.03vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.79-4.84vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.25-3.11vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.33-2.88vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.32University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Hawaii2.360.3%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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8.05Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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11.14Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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9.89University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.45California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.45California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 22.1% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 25.4% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.3% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Magnussen | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 41.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.