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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.36+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.25+2.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.37+3.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.96-2.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.79-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.93-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.91-6.56vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.25-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.33-0.75vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.76-2.93vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.49vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.33University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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6.06University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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8.52Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
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10.09University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.07Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.51California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.51California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 20.8% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 22.3% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 42.4% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.