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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.93+4.86vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.25+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.36-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.91-2.53vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.96-3.85vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.79-1.71vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.37-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-3.29vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.25-1.93vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.76-1.80vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.33-1.87vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.51vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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3.41University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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3.66University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Hawaii1.910.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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7.29University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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8.51Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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10.07University of British Columbia-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.2Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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12.13University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.49California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.49California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 21.4% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.6% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Meade | 13.6% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Savage | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 20.6% | 41.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 25.7% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 25.7% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.