Race 1A

qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Hanna 56.3% 27.7% 10.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Schwinn 17.8% 28.2% 27.1% 17.1% 7.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Forrest Short 16.3% 25.2% 28.5% 19.6% 7.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Malcolm Kriegel 3.0% 7.0% 13.2% 22.4% 24.3% 15.9% 10.1% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Michael Hernandez 1.2% 1.3% 3.1% 4.8% 7.3% 11.0% 16.5% 21.4% 20.0% 13.4%
Alexandra Oyston 1.7% 3.7% 3.9% 7.0% 14.1% 20.7% 20.3% 15.8% 9.5% 3.3%
Emily Verdoia 2.1% 5.0% 8.9% 16.8% 23.2% 21.4% 13.1% 7.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Aaron Comen 0.6% 0.9% 2.1% 4.2% 7.4% 11.7% 17.3% 19.7% 22.0% 14.1%
Jordan Johnson 0.7% 0.5% 1.3% 2.6% 3.9% 8.3% 11.8% 17.4% 24.5% 29.0%
Sofia Giordano 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 3.5% 7.2% 9.6% 14.8% 21.9% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.