Race 2A

qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Hanna 56.3% 27.0% 11.7% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Schwinn 17.2% 27.1% 28.9% 17.3% 6.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Malcolm Kriegel 4.5% 7.9% 10.3% 20.5% 25.1% 17.2% 10.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Forrest Short 14.5% 27.9% 29.4% 17.6% 7.8% 2.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Hernandez 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 5.7% 7.5% 11.8% 14.9% 21.6% 20.4% 13.4%
Alexandra Oyston 2.3% 2.7% 4.1% 8.6% 13.4% 19.5% 20.9% 16.4% 8.5% 3.6%
Emily Verdoia 2.6% 3.9% 9.5% 16.2% 24.4% 21.5% 13.1% 6.8% 1.5% 0.5%
Jordan Johnson 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 3.6% 3.7% 8.2% 13.4% 17.2% 23.7% 28.0%
Aaron Comen 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 4.3% 7.1% 10.3% 16.5% 22.2% 21.4% 14.8%
Sofia Giordano 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 3.2% 7.2% 9.9% 12.5% 23.5% 39.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.