Race 3A

qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Hanna 55.8% 27.8% 11.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Forrest Short 16.0% 25.6% 30.1% 17.4% 7.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Schwinn 16.8% 28.6% 26.0% 18.3% 7.6% 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Malcolm Kriegel 3.2% 6.7% 12.5% 22.6% 24.3% 18.2% 8.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Alexandra Oyston 2.2% 2.3% 5.0% 9.1% 13.3% 18.3% 21.7% 16.1% 9.1% 2.9%
Emily Verdoia 3.9% 6.0% 8.5% 16.4% 22.4% 20.9% 13.0% 6.3% 1.7% 0.9%
Aaron Comen 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 7.7% 11.9% 16.7% 21.7% 21.2% 15.2%
Sofia Giordano 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 2.4% 4.2% 6.7% 9.8% 15.5% 20.5% 39.3%
Jordan Johnson 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 2.4% 4.7% 7.4% 12.3% 17.1% 24.6% 28.9%
Michael Hernandez 0.4% 1.2% 2.7% 4.9% 7.3% 11.5% 17.2% 20.4% 21.7% 12.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.