Race 5A

qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Forrest Short 18.1% 25.3% 26.7% 17.6% 8.0% 3.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Hanna 54.7% 30.1% 12.2% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Schwinn 17.3% 25.6% 30.2% 17.8% 6.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Verdoia 2.6% 5.4% 8.0% 18.5% 22.7% 20.8% 12.7% 6.8% 2.2% 0.3%
Malcolm Kriegel 4.3% 8.0% 12.2% 21.9% 24.7% 16.8% 7.1% 4.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Michael Hernandez 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 5.1% 7.5% 11.4% 17.2% 22.0% 18.5% 14.1%
Alexandra Oyston 1.2% 1.9% 3.8% 8.8% 14.2% 20.0% 21.1% 15.4% 10.3% 3.3%
Jordan Johnson 0.3% 0.7% 1.6% 2.3% 5.2% 7.9% 13.1% 17.3% 24.3% 27.3%
Aaron Comen 0.8% 0.7% 2.4% 3.6% 6.9% 11.7% 17.5% 20.2% 21.8% 14.4%
Sofia Giordano 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 3.6% 6.0% 10.4% 14.0% 22.1% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.