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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.65vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas1.82-0.03vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.60+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.14+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Central Oklahoma-1.76+2.80vs Predicted
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7Loyola University New Orleans-2.00+2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-1.34-0.08vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.47-4.15vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.27-2.21vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.48-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.6%1st Place
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2.79Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.2%1st Place
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2.97University of North Texas1.820.2%1st Place
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6.78Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Central Oklahoma-1.760.0%1st Place
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9.0Loyola University New Orleans-2.000.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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4.85Tulane University0.470.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Texas-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.15Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 55.0% | 29.2% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 18.3% | 28.2% | 26.1% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Forrest Short | 15.3% | 23.1% | 29.1% | 19.0% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Emily Verdoia | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Johnson | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 27.0% |
| Sofia Giordano | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 33.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 11.5% |
| Malcolm Kriegel | 4.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 21.4% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hernandez | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 10.3% |
| Marisa Soto | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.