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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
33
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+5.44vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+5.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.61+10.76vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.18+2.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+3.09vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.01vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.13+7.42vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.75-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06+0.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+1.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+4.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+6.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+3.03vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+4.03vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.45+3.30vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.25+0.98vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara0.72-5.97vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69+1.23vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.11-2.84vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.39vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+1.42vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-0.46-3.68vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-0.92-2.19vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-15.34vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-0.19-8.47vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego-1.19-4.33vs Predicted
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29San Diego State University-0.25-10.02vs Predicted
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30University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-7.56vs Predicted
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31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-6.42vs Predicted
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32San Diego State University-0.46-11.68vs Predicted
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33University of California at San Diego-1.33-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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9.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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16.42University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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13.24University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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17.32University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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18.03University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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20.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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20.3University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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18.98San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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13.03University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.0%1st Place
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21.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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18.16University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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18.61University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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24.42University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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20.32San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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22.81University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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18.53University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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23.67University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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18.98San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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22.44University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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24.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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20.32San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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24.9University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kerman | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.