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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
33
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+7.01vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+4.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+4.09vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.25+14.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+4.89vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.18-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-2.42vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+3.30vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+2.20vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.68vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.46+6.42vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+4.99vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+2.27vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.25+2.22vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+2.16vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.96vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis0.13-3.40vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.15-2.96vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.19-3.37vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+1.82vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.10vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-7.22vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-4.45vs Predicted
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27San Diego State University-0.46-6.58vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego-0.45-7.72vs Predicted
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29University of California at Irvine-0.92-6.38vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-19.55vs Predicted
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31University of California at San Diego-1.19-7.37vs Predicted
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32University of California at San Diego-1.33-7.17vs Predicted
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33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.16California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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19.22San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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11.32University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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20.42San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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19.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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18.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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19.22San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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20.16University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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18.04University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.6University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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18.04University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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18.63University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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24.82University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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22.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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17.78University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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21.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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20.42San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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20.28University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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22.62University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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23.63University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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24.83University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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24.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.2% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kerman | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.