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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
33
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+5.49vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+3.24vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+5.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.61+8.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+6.98vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+0.18vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.25+9.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06+1.18vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.33-5.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+1.11vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+5.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.13+2.94vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+3.00vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.92+7.04vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.92-4.97vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.45+2.20vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-8.59vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69+1.28vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.87vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-0.46-1.47vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.11-4.69vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-0.25-5.33vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-0.19-6.26vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University-0.46-5.47vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-0.15-8.57vs Predicted
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28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-3.24vs Predicted
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29University of California at San Diego-1.19-5.00vs Predicted
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30University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-7.62vs Predicted
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31University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-6.92vs Predicted
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32University of California at San Diego-1.33-7.14vs Predicted
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33University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-12.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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6.24California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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13.93University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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18.67San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.0%1st Place
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18.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.94University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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18.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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23.04University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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20.2University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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10.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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21.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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18.13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.53San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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18.31University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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18.67San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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18.74University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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20.53San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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18.43University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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24.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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24.0University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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22.38University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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24.08University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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24.86University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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20.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 14.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kerman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.