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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
33
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+5.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+5.69vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+4.75vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+1.48vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+8.31vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+7.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06+3.43vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.75-1.51vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25+8.91vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+2.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+7.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.13+2.82vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-7.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.11+3.34vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+1.87vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-6.43vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.45+2.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.19-0.57vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.92+2.35vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.92-9.02vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.33+3.08vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.46-2.87vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.11vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-7.07vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University-0.46-5.87vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-0.60-5.98vs Predicted
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28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-6.72vs Predicted
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29San Diego State University-0.25-10.09vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38-10.75vs Predicted
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31University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-7.12vs Predicted
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32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-7.54vs Predicted
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33University of California at San Diego-1.19-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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8.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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14.15University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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11.43University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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18.91San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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13.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.0%1st Place
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19.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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15.82University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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6.45California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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18.34University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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17.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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10.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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20.02University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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18.43University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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22.35University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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25.08University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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20.13San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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22.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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17.93University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.13San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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21.02University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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21.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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18.91San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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19.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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23.88University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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24.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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24.08University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kerman | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.