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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
33
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University-0.25+17.92vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+5.67vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.18+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75+3.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+3.02vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.33-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+11.08vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+3.88vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.45+9.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.06-0.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.11+4.30vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.92+8.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.72-1.61vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.19+2.69vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+1.01vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.92-6.25vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69+2.43vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.61-6.44vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-10.46vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.13-5.16vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.46-2.90vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-0.60-2.98vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.19-0.91vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University-0.46-5.90vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-4.09vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-3.89vs Predicted
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29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-5.07vs Predicted
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30San Diego State University-0.25-11.08vs Predicted
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31University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-11.52vs Predicted
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32University of California at San Diego-1.33-7.19vs Predicted
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33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38-13.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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18.92San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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18.08University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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6.54California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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9.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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20.02University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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17.3University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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22.88University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.0%1st Place
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18.69University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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18.01University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.75University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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21.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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13.56University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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16.84University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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20.1San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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21.02University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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24.09University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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20.1San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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22.91University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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24.11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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23.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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18.92San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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19.48University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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24.81University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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19.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Dean | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.4% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kerman | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.