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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.7
Avg Position Diff
32
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+5.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.18+5.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+7.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+13.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.12+7.85vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.80+2.01vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.00+5.24vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+12.35vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.00+3.24vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.27-7.69vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-4.54vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.09+1.39vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.51-3.81vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-0.87vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-5.74vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-1.28vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-8.94vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-2.85vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.91-2.00vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-2.53vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.69vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-5.89vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-5.89vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-1.03-6.97vs Predicted
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28San Diego State University-0.99-7.62vs Predicted
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29University of California at San Diego-1.31-6.78vs Predicted
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30University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-6.66vs Predicted
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31University of California at San Diego-1.35-8.87vs Predicted
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32University of California at Davis-2.22-6.43vs Predicted
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33San Diego State University-0.99-12.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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11.76University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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18.36University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.85University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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10.01University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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14.24San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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22.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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14.24San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Southern California2.270.2%1st Place
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8.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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15.39University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
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15.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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17.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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18.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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20.0University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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20.47University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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20.31University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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19.11University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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20.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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20.03University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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20.38San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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22.22University of California at San Diego-1.310.0%1st Place
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23.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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22.13University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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25.57University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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20.38San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Berkenfield | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dana | 19.2% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonia Beckstrom | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 35.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.