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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
6.1
Avg Position Diff
32
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+4.86vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.27+2.25vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+3.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+16.53vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.00+9.60vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+9.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+4.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.80+0.87vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+12.28vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+7.04vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.18-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.72-6.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.91+5.35vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.00-0.40vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-7.58vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.51-5.62vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.09-3.20vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-1.11vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.12-6.43vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.52vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-3.50vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.53vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.03-4.75vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University-0.99-5.62vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-14.71vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego-1.31-5.91vs Predicted
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29University of California at San Diego-1.35-6.56vs Predicted
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30University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-6.71vs Predicted
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31San Diego State University-0.99-10.62vs Predicted
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32University of California at Davis-2.22-6.19vs Predicted
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33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-13.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Southern California2.270.2%1st Place
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6.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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20.53University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.6San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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15.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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22.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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18.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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19.35University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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14.6San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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8.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
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14.8University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.89University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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19.48University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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18.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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20.47University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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20.25University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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20.38San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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22.09University of California at San Diego-1.310.0%1st Place
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22.44University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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23.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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20.38San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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25.81University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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19.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerri Luttrell | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dana | 19.9% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Berkenfield | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonia Beckstrom | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 37.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.