← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.7
Avg Position Diff
32
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1San Diego State University-0.00+13.40vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.27+2.20vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.91vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+3.19vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego0.80+5.20vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+12.26vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.67vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+3.21vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California1.72-3.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California1.18-1.62vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-0.00+3.40vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+9.85vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.03+7.59vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+6.75vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-6.93vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.92vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.30vs Predicted
-
18University of Southern California0.51-6.66vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles0.12-5.39vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine-1.02+0.15vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.53vs Predicted
-
22San Diego State University-0.99-1.67vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-0.91-3.21vs Predicted
-
24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-6.14vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-1.31-3.02vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-13.68vs Predicted
-
27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-6.84vs Predicted
-
29University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-5.46vs Predicted
-
30San Diego State University-0.99-9.67vs Predicted
-
31University of California at San Diego-1.35-8.80vs Predicted
-
32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-13.62vs Predicted
-
33University of California at Davis-2.22-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
14.4San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
4.2University of Southern California2.270.2%1st Place
-
5.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
7.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
-
10.2University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
18.26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
-
11.67University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.21University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
-
5.84University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
8.38University of Southern California1.180.0%1st Place
-
14.4San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
21.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
-
20.59University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
20.75University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
-
8.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
-
15.08University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
14.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
-
11.34University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
-
13.61University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
-
20.15University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
19.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
20.33San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
-
19.79University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
-
17.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
-
21.98University of California at San Diego-1.310.0%1st Place
-
12.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
-
20.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
23.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
-
20.33San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
-
22.2University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
-
18.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
-
25.57University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Rall | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dana | 20.1% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Berkenfield | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonia Beckstrom | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 36.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.