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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
32
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.29vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+5.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.80+7.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.18+4.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.60vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.27-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.51+4.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+6.93vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+1.36vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.00+3.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+5.13vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.00-1.60vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.99+2.57vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California1.72-11.92vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.40vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.25vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-2.04vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-0.91-3.57vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-5.81vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-0.75-6.61vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-8.01vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-9.64vs Predicted
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28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-6.49vs Predicted
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29San Diego State University-0.99-9.43vs Predicted
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30University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-6.97vs Predicted
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31University of California at San Diego-1.90-6.77vs Predicted
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32University of California at Davis-2.22-6.77vs Predicted
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33University of California at San Diego-3.81-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.3%1st Place
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7.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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10.15University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Southern California2.270.2%1st Place
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11.72University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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14.4San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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12.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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14.48University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.4San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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19.57San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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18.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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19.75University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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19.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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19.43University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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18.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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18.39University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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17.99University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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17.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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21.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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19.57San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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23.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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24.23University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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25.23University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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28.73University of California at San Diego-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Henken | 26.3% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dana | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Berkenfield | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 27.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Redburn | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 11.5% | 71.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.